| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
50,000 |
0.883 |
$44,175.00 |
$19,175.00 |
+76.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
34,996 |
0.385 |
$13,473.61 |
$2,476.59 |
+22.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
50,000 |
0.117 |
$5,825.00 |
$-19,175.00 |
-76.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5,000 |
0.835 |
$4,174.98 |
$428.03 |
+11.4% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
No |
2,076 |
0.968 |
$2,008.79 |
$177.64 |
+9.7% |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? |
Yes |
4,394 |
0.405 |
$1,779.47 |
$938.97 |
+111.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,041 |
0.535 |
$1,092.02 |
$228.33 |
+26.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,124 |
0.885 |
$994.74 |
$34.34 |
+3.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,047 |
0.935 |
$978.82 |
$198.36 |
+25.4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.963 |
$962.50 |
$132.50 |
+16.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
1,300 |
0.705 |
$916.49 |
$242.98 |
+36.1% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,133 |
0.700 |
$792.81 |
$9.24 |
+1.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.963 |
$770.00 |
$154.00 |
+25.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
991 |
0.695 |
$688.37 |
$272.32 |
+65.5% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? |
Yes |
2,058 |
0.325 |
$668.97 |
$-67.42 |
-9.2% |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
596 |
0.953 |
$567.84 |
$12.30 |
+2.2% |
| Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
524 |
0.945 |
$495.18 |
$10.10 |
+2.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.825 |
$495.00 |
$137.00 |
+38.3% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
Anthropic |
500 |
0.895 |
$447.50 |
$57.50 |
+14.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
500 |
0.825 |
$412.50 |
$232.50 |
+129.2% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
No |
450 |
0.875 |
$393.75 |
$2.25 |
+0.6% |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.958 |
$383.21 |
$31.02 |
+8.8% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
417 |
0.915 |
$381.36 |
$14.59 |
+4.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.755 |
$377.49 |
$-27.50 |
-6.8% |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
430 |
0.875 |
$376.67 |
$15.68 |
+4.3% |