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Trader leaderboard/ngok996

ngok996

0xe1a96e3065e96d5fbdd06215f00e5c1622f3339e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$42
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$45
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
22W / 15L · 108 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
76W / 61L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
145
across 106 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$2.12
avg win $4 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.50
$43 won / $85 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $728 · all-time $65,351

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.7% 116W/113L 301 $1,889
🏛 Politics 57.1% 4W/3L 41 $117
💵 Economy 57.1% 4W/3L 13 $38
🎬 Culture 100.0% 2W/0L 9 $46
🤖 Tech 80.0% 4W/1L 8 $23

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 50 0.710 $35.50 $22.50 +173.1%
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 50 0.315 $15.75 $0.75 +5.0%
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? No 23 0.677 $15.41 $11.09 +256.6%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No 50 0.300 $15.00 $0.50 +3.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? No 46 0.285 $13.11 $4.37 +49.9%
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No 50 0.255 $12.75 $-2.25 -15.0%
Blue wave in 2026? No 48 0.255 $12.24 $-2.16 -15.0%
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? No 50 0.220 $11.00 $-3.00 -21.4%
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? No 50 0.215 $10.75 $-0.25 -2.3%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No 50 0.210 $10.50 $-4.50 -30.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 30 0.345 $10.35 $2.55 +32.7%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat? No 50 0.205 $10.25 $-4.25 -29.3%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? No 50 0.205 $10.25 $-2.25 -18.0%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No 50 0.200 $10.00 $-2.00 -16.7%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat? No 45 0.215 $9.68 $-3.82 -28.3%
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? No 50 0.190 $9.50 $-2.00 -17.4%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat? No 50 0.175 $8.75 $0.75 +9.4%
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? No 50 0.175 $8.75 $-2.70 -23.6%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No 50 0.170 $8.50 $1.00 +13.3%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? No 50 0.170 $8.50 $-6.00 -41.4%
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? No 50 0.165 $8.25 $0.25 +3.1%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? No 39 0.205 $7.95 $-0.19 -2.4%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat? No 50 0.155 $7.75 $-3.75 -32.6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 50 0.155 $7.75 $-7.25 -48.3%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No 50 0.155 $7.75 $-3.75 -32.6%