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Trader

0xe1a49dc01ede5492fbd27a6dcae20dddf719a4ba
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
19%
4W / 17L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
7W / 17L
Trades (30d)
24
across 13 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.15
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.27
$1 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
1.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,992 · all-time $1,490,794

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.5% 625W/956L 721 $661
⚽ Sports 23.3% 14W/46L 30 $22
🎬 Culture 29.6% 8W/19L 12 $5
🏛 Politics 11.1% 2W/16L 11 $5
₿ Crypto 28.0% 7W/18L 8 $10
💵 Economy 20.0% 3W/12L 7 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Team to Take First Corner Sandefjord Fotball 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Will Central Espanol FC win on 2026-07-25? Yes 7 0.500 $3.70 $3.63 +4900.0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in August? Yes 45 0.025 $1.11 $0.20 +22.5%
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? Yes 19 0.053 $1.00 $0.74 +275.0%
Sporting CP vs. ZHFK Sisters: O/U 0.5 Under 18 0.045 $0.79 $-0.26 -25.0%
Will Trump’s remarks not air? Yes 90 0.009 $0.77 $0.33 +77.0%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 30 0.025 $0.75 $0.15 +25.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 26, 2026? Yes 7 0.105 $0.75 $0.25 +50.0%
Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 1 0.425 $0.44 $0.41 +1316.3%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in August? Yes 56 0.007 $0.39 $-0.65 -62.5%
Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 9 0.036 $0.32 $0.14 +80.0%
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 9 0.032 $0.28 $0.10 +57.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 in August? Yes 29 0.008 $0.24 $-0.09 -27.2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 6? Yes 22 0.001 $0.01 $-0.26 -95.9%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on August 6? Yes 22 0.001 $0.01 $-0.26 -95.9%
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes 1 0.009 $0.01 $-0.00 -5.0%
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 1 0.001 $0.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Spread: Bamin Real Potosí (-2.5) Bamin Real Potosí 3 0.000 $0.00 $-0.03 -100.0%