PnL (30d)

−$231

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

21%

252W / 956L · 106 open

Win Return (30d)

22%

284W / 1,030L

Trades (30d)

1,314

across 94 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

−$2.62

avg win $222 · loss $25

Profit Factor

0.88

$1,775 won / $2,006 lost

Reward / Risk

8.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$163

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.9% 252W/956L	94	$4,814
₿ Crypto	12.5% 2W/14L	4	$40
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	3	$165
🎬 Culture	100.0% 2W/0L	3	$30
🔬 Science	—	2	$23
💵 Economy	100.0% 5W/0L	1	$142

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	3,212	0.029	$91.53	$-13.57	-12.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?	Yes	2,173	0.015	$33.69	$-25.49	-43.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	604	0.055	$33.21	$-12.37	-27.1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9?	Yes	450	0.049	$21.82	$2.88	+15.2%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9?	Yes	370	0.042	$15.54	$8.76	+129.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	267	0.019	$5.08	$1.63	+47.2%