megaforest
0xe172d9e17386f9b4298e2e6eaf8c66d8a8b4e8e0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$737
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4,402
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
2W / 1L · 43 open
Win Return (30d)
98%
45W / 1L
Trades (30d)
46
across 6 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$368.70
avg win $28 · loss $766
Profit Factor
0.04
$28 won / $766 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $439,388
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
47,971 |
0.930 |
$44,612.90 |
$4,854.89 |
+12.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
444 |
0.966 |
$429.33 |
$64.91 |
+17.8% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.254 |
$1.27 |
$-0.50 |
-28.4% |