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Trader leaderboard/CompulsiveGambler

CompulsiveGambler

0xe0f1e7751df4035f78a5eb2f4296c98b4d5bc4bd
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$373
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$163
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
6%
1W / 17L · 75 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
56W / 37L
Trades (30d)
93
across 18 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$124.26
avg win $92 · loss $232
Profit Factor
0.20
$92 won / $465 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,752 · all-time $3,347,403

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.7% 29W/57L 85 $69,771
🏛 Politics 14 $4,010
💵 Economy 7 $2,226
🤖 Tech 5 $401
₿ Crypto 3 $1,149
🎬 Culture 2 $118

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

103 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No 7,000 0.920 $6,439.99 $404.01 +6.7%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No 8,667 0.585 $5,070.26 $-989.38 -16.3%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 3,800 0.885 $3,362.99 $227.65 +7.3%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 7,130 0.440 $3,137.08 $633.78 +25.3%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 3,729 0.815 $3,039.15 $-25.25 -0.8%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? No 3,071 0.920 $2,825.13 $-28.34 -1.0%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No 4,309 0.625 $2,693.00 $-506.66 -15.8%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 5,372 0.455 $2,444.28 $-622.74 -20.3%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 2,100 0.980 $2,057.98 $162.31 +8.6%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No 2,500 0.770 $1,925.08 $-53.92 -2.7%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? No 2,000 0.961 $1,921.00 $41.00 +2.2%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? No 2,652 0.710 $1,882.83 $23.09 +1.2%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? No 1,916 0.936 $1,793.56 $42.48 +2.4%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No 2,028 0.815 $1,652.96 $112.03 +7.3%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No 1,848 0.855 $1,580.09 $105.16 +7.1%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 1,498 0.885 $1,325.88 $47.88 +3.7%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 1,332 0.979 $1,303.36 $110.95 +9.3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 1,425 0.895 $1,275.51 $293.86 +29.9%
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No 1,490 0.845 $1,258.92 $26.39 +2.1%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? No 1,249 0.940 $1,173.73 $96.97 +9.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 1,400 0.825 $1,155.00 $-29.00 -2.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 1,000 0.935 $934.99 $47.00 +5.3%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? No 1,091 0.650 $709.01 $8.30 +1.2%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No 803 0.875 $702.35 $170.82 +32.1%
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No 996 0.700 $697.14 $-10.08 -1.4%