PnL (30d)

−$39

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$534

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-18.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

5W / 2L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

9W / 3L

Trades (30d)

12

across 5 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$19.68

avg win $39 · loss $79

Profit Factor

0.50

$39 won / $79 lost

Reward / Risk

0.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.4% 5W/2L	5	$1,097
🏛 Politics	—	2	$17

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?	Yes	4	0.973	$3.99	$3.54	+784.5%
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?	Yes	200	0.013	$2.50	$-26.24	-91.3%
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	22	0.007	$0.16	$-3.58	-95.6%
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?	Yes	3	0.017	$0.05	$-0.41	-89.7%
Will the Union for Central African Renewal win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?	Yes	18	0.002	$0.03	$-0.69	-96.3%
Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	3	0.001	$0.00	$-0.53	-99.7%