| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
2,254 |
0.930 |
$2,096.39 |
$204.51 |
+10.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
2,000 |
1.000 |
$1,999.00 |
$3.00 |
+0.2% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
1,142 |
0.930 |
$1,062.49 |
$6.60 |
+0.6% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
747 |
0.961 |
$718.21 |
$-4.39 |
-0.6% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? |
Yes |
702 |
0.850 |
$596.90 |
$-21.07 |
-3.4% |
| SHEIN IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
666 |
0.891 |
$593.96 |
$20.66 |
+3.6% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
562 |
0.780 |
$438.11 |
$19.63 |
+4.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
424 |
0.966 |
$409.95 |
$44.69 |
+12.2% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
452 |
0.900 |
$406.38 |
$78.81 |
+24.1% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31? |
No |
395 |
0.855 |
$338.10 |
$45.48 |
+15.5% |
| Will Thomas J. Smith be the MI-08 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
213 |
0.748 |
$159.22 |
$-53.14 |
-25.0% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? |
No |
173 |
0.865 |
$149.44 |
$81.07 |
+118.6% |
| Will Alfred Lemmo be the MI-08 Republican nominee? |
No |
142 |
0.994 |
$141.11 |
$-0.71 |
-0.5% |
| Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD? |
Yes |
170 |
0.595 |
$101.22 |
$-34.43 |
-25.4% |
| Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week? |
No |
153 |
0.535 |
$81.86 |
$-14.53 |
-15.1% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.145 |
$72.50 |
$-22.50 |
-23.7% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.905 |
$54.30 |
$13.50 |
+33.1% |
| Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week? |
No |
184 |
0.205 |
$37.72 |
$-20.27 |
-35.0% |
| Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? |
No |
48 |
0.430 |
$20.81 |
$-20.33 |
-49.4% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
20 |
0.987 |
$19.74 |
$1.06 |
+5.7% |
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.915 |
$17.94 |
$3.82 |
+27.1% |
| Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw? |
Yes |
16 |
0.885 |
$14.12 |
$-1.63 |
-10.4% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.910 |
$14.11 |
$5.27 |
+59.6% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
12 |
0.925 |
$11.10 |
$1.38 |
+14.2% |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.084 |
$8.35 |
$-17.65 |
-67.9% |