PnL (30d)

−$12

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$114

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

91%

71W / 7L · 848 open

Win Return (30d)

99%

897W / 9L · 20 open

Trades (30d)

926

across 28 markets · ~33 per market

EV / position

−$1.31

avg win $8 · loss $79

Profit Factor

0.85

$67 won / $79 lost

Reward / Risk

0.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	91.0% 71W/7L	28	$531
💵 Economy	—	10	$193
🏛 Politics	—	1	$3

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	11,228	0.006	$67.37	$39.43	+141.2%
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	Yes	500	0.044	$22.00	$4.50	+25.7%
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?	Yes	1,001	0.018	$17.52	$-1.48	-7.8%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,728	0.006	$10.37	$6.91	+200.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	Yes	500	0.021	$10.25	$1.94	+23.3%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?	Yes	9,403	0.001	$4.70	$-23.51	-83.3%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	89	0.036	$3.19	$0.09	+2.9%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	Yes	23	0.108	$2.50	$-2.33	-48.3%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	346	0.006	$2.08	$1.04	+100.0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?	Yes	2,863	0.001	$1.43	$-4.29	-75.0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?	Yes	1,911	0.001	$0.96	$-6.69	-87.5%