| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
498 |
0.865 |
$430.60 |
$25.10 |
+6.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
144 |
0.675 |
$96.99 |
$9.59 |
+11.0% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.935 |
$29.94 |
$1.11 |
+3.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
75 |
0.356 |
$26.70 |
$-2.80 |
-9.5% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.990 |
$15.31 |
$0.30 |
+2.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.941 |
$15.10 |
$0.10 |
+0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
15 |
0.975 |
$15.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.2% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.910 |
$14.85 |
$-0.16 |
-1.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.962 |
$12.35 |
$0.03 |
+0.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
24 |
0.155 |
$3.75 |
$-3.51 |
-48.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
11 |
0.205 |
$2.15 |
$-7.30 |
-77.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.209 |
$1.05 |
$-0.14 |
-12.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.135 |
$0.67 |
$0.31 |
+86.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
5 |
0.115 |
$0.57 |
$-0.07 |
-11.5% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.093 |
$0.47 |
$0.37 |
+367.5% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.044 |
$0.44 |
$0.10 |
+30.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.088 |
$0.44 |
$0.15 |
+52.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5 |
0.086 |
$0.43 |
$0.13 |
+42.5% |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? |
No |
5 |
0.070 |
$0.35 |
$-1.30 |
-78.8% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.068 |
$0.34 |
$-0.67 |
-66.4% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5 |
0.052 |
$0.26 |
$0.08 |
+41.9% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5 |
0.049 |
$0.24 |
$0.03 |
+12.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.040 |
$0.20 |
$-0.32 |
-62.0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5 |
0.030 |
$0.15 |
$0.04 |
+38.6% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5 |
0.029 |
$0.15 |
$0.02 |
+18.0% |