| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
6,522 |
0.375 |
$2,445.91 |
$-443.06 |
-15.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
2,256 |
0.545 |
$1,229.75 |
$306.89 |
+33.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
711 |
0.775 |
$551.02 |
$13.03 |
+2.4% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? |
Yes |
2,480 |
0.100 |
$248.04 |
$-1,460.47 |
-85.5% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
380 |
0.620 |
$235.60 |
$4.90 |
+2.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
1,881 |
0.114 |
$213.47 |
$-779.50 |
-78.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
301 |
0.615 |
$185.31 |
$12.23 |
+7.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.750 |
$172.49 |
$6.20 |
+3.7% |
| Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
839 |
0.205 |
$171.93 |
$-110.72 |
-39.2% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? |
Yes |
3,645 |
0.037 |
$134.87 |
$-1,187.84 |
-89.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
155 |
0.855 |
$132.53 |
$5.42 |
+4.3% |
| Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
168 |
0.710 |
$119.28 |
$-14.32 |
-10.7% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
964 |
0.115 |
$110.87 |
$-323.36 |
-74.5% |
| Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
115 |
0.925 |
$106.38 |
$33.92 |
+46.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
130 |
0.775 |
$100.74 |
$6.15 |
+6.5% |
| Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
185 |
0.530 |
$98.05 |
$-24.05 |
-19.7% |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
No |
175 |
0.555 |
$97.12 |
$-4.38 |
-4.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
534 |
0.177 |
$94.83 |
$-190.03 |
-66.7% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? |
No |
100 |
0.907 |
$90.52 |
$0.49 |
+0.5% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.680 |
$88.40 |
$7.30 |
+9.0% |
| Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
100 |
0.850 |
$85.00 |
$7.00 |
+9.0% |
| Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
85 |
1.000 |
$84.96 |
$31.41 |
+58.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
718 |
0.115 |
$82.57 |
$-24.00 |
-22.5% |
| Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
85 |
0.955 |
$81.17 |
$14.02 |
+20.9% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? |
No |
392 |
0.195 |
$76.37 |
$-1.96 |
-2.5% |