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Trader leaderboard/test223455w2

test223455w2

0xdff07b8665a6567c233ebb914136d38b90785865
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$9
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+19.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
25W / 7L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
25W / 8L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
34
across 10 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$1.11
avg win $3 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.76
$21 won / $12 lost
Reward / Risk
0.59
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $103 · all-time $44,790

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.5% 124W/81L 134 $800
🌤 Weather 70.0% 7W/3L 7 $32
🏛 Politics 87.5% 14W/2L 4 $32
🎬 Culture 100.0% 14W/0L 4 $25
⚽ Sports 3 $15
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 356 0.485 $172.49 $18.96 +12.4%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 72 0.815 $58.83 $8.82 +17.6%
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes 73 0.745 $54.31 $9.20 +20.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 61 0.855 $51.90 $9.66 +22.9%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No 64 0.775 $49.35 $5.46 +12.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 45 0.980 $44.24 $21.66 +95.9%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 30 0.998 $29.93 $14.93 +99.5%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 30 0.996 $29.86 $14.86 +99.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 140 0.209 $29.37 $-5.03 -14.6%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 436 0.052 $22.87 $4.87 +27.1%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 45 0.475 $21.34 $3.37 +18.7%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 35 0.541 $18.70 $1.42 +8.2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No 25 0.645 $16.17 $3.46 +27.2%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 35 0.459 $15.86 $-1.09 -6.4%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 90 0.155 $13.91 $-25.04 -64.3%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 61 0.210 $12.88 $-24.38 -65.4%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes 48 0.245 $11.84 $-19.56 -62.3%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 18 0.595 $10.85 $1.73 +19.0%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No 15 0.735 $10.81 $1.49 +16.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 74 0.144 $10.76 $-0.40 -3.6%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No 24 0.375 $8.84 $-0.59 -6.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 15 0.573 $8.72 $0.86 +10.9%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 18 0.405 $7.38 $-1.73 -19.0%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No 9 0.625 $5.42 $1.26 +30.2%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 12 0.455 $5.30 $-1.70 -24.3%