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Trader leaderboard/Dud3

Dud3

0xdfdbfad05bf69f17fe4fcbab8993f5f3e491703d
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$53
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-23.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
3%
1W / 35L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
3%
1W / 36L
Trades (30d)
37
across 22 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.53
avg win $40 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.43
$40 won / $93 lost
Reward / Risk
8.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$73
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,336 · all-time $306,280

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 23.1% 25W/83L 76 $1,022
🎬 Culture 7.7% 1W/12L 10 $211
🏛 Politics 33.3% 2W/4L 6 $74
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 3 $5
⚽ Sports 3 $2
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $100
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $34

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 200 0.375 $75.00 $9.00 +13.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 200 0.165 $33.00 $9.00 +37.5%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 100 0.255 $25.50 $1.50 +6.2%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? No 200 0.120 $24.00 $-44.00 -64.7%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No 100 0.150 $15.00 $0.00 +0.0%
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch No 20 0.555 $11.10 $8.10 +270.0%
Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes 421 0.025 $10.70 $9.86 +1170.0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 313 0.029 $9.23 $-6.87 -42.7%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 200 0.038 $7.70 $-13.50 -63.7%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 400 0.017 $6.80 $-1.60 -19.0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 200 0.033 $6.50 $2.30 +54.8%
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes 27 0.150 $3.98 $-2.12 -34.8%
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes 1,000 0.004 $3.50 $0.50 +16.7%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 800 0.004 $2.80 $-0.40 -12.5%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? No 200 0.013 $2.70 $-0.70 -20.6%
Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes 374 0.006 $2.43 $1.68 +225.0%
Will KT be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes 374 0.006 $2.24 $1.50 +200.0%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes 5 0.430 $2.15 $0.40 +22.9%
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes 590 0.004 $2.06 $0.29 +16.7%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? Yes 200 0.009 $1.90 $-3.10 -62.0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 400 0.004 $1.80 $-1.00 -35.7%
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes 1,000 0.002 $1.50 $-0.50 -25.0%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 14 0.090 $1.26 $-0.98 -43.7%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 200 0.004 $0.90 $-0.90 -50.0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 200 0.004 $0.70 $-2.90 -80.6%