PnL (30d)

−$1

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

24%

4W / 13L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

36%

9W / 16L

Trades (30d)

25

across 6 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.24

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.60

$1 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

1.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	9.4% 26W/252L	73	$273
🏛 Politics	23.5% 4W/13L	6	$46
🎬 Culture	23.5% 4W/13L	6	$46
🌤 Weather	22.2% 2W/7L	5	$19
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/10L	4	$2
💵 Economy	—	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	100	0.245	$24.40	$2.49	+11.4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	40	0.213	$8.54	$-0.62	-6.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	120	0.017	$1.98	$-7.62	-79.4%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	320	0.002	$0.48	$-3.37	-87.5%