Loigc
0xdfb539382fd39d17321110ad568a564c1e978bd4
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$172
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$26
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
35W / 9L · 19 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
54W / 9L
Trades (30d)
63
across 16 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$12.29
avg win $15 · loss $80
Profit Factor
0.47
$150 won / $322 lost
Reward / Risk
0.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,340 · all-time $573,671
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
4,722 |
0.865 |
$4,084.40 |
$68.65 |
+1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
3,268 |
0.865 |
$2,826.81 |
$-16.34 |
-0.6% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.955 |
$1,146.01 |
$16.68 |
+1.5% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$41.50 |
+83.0% |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? |
Yes |
505 |
0.110 |
$55.55 |
$-146.45 |
-72.5% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,089 |
0.004 |
$3.81 |
$-136.61 |
-97.3% |