| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
3,717 |
0.110 |
$408.83 |
$-261.16 |
-39.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,285 |
0.215 |
$276.33 |
$-113.67 |
-29.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
394 |
0.534 |
$210.62 |
$-39.38 |
-15.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
1,200 |
0.175 |
$209.99 |
$-73.99 |
-26.1% |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? |
No |
209 |
0.805 |
$168.55 |
$21.30 |
+14.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
400 |
0.370 |
$148.00 |
$-4.00 |
-2.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.315 |
$126.00 |
$-30.00 |
-19.2% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
642 |
0.144 |
$92.41 |
$42.41 |
+84.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
8,244 |
0.009 |
$70.07 |
$-22.26 |
-24.1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
750 |
0.054 |
$40.50 |
$-9.71 |
-19.3% |
| Israel military action against Yemen by August 31? |
Yes |
707 |
0.055 |
$38.88 |
$-11.12 |
-22.2% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026? |
Yes |
83 |
0.350 |
$29.03 |
$-20.97 |
-41.9% |
| Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? |
No |
29 |
0.945 |
$27.40 |
$3.15 |
+13.0% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026? |
Yes |
139 |
0.150 |
$20.83 |
$-4.17 |
-16.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.006 |
$8.12 |
$-0.62 |
-7.1% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
97 |
0.065 |
$6.31 |
$-18.69 |
-74.7% |