| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
7,376 |
0.165 |
$1,216.99 |
$71.61 |
+6.3% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.976 |
$780.40 |
$52.40 |
+7.2% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
560 |
0.825 |
$461.70 |
$19.45 |
+4.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
541 |
0.835 |
$451.34 |
$27.58 |
+6.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
481 |
0.935 |
$449.41 |
$179.83 |
+66.7% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? |
No |
468 |
0.875 |
$409.18 |
$25.80 |
+6.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
209 |
0.957 |
$200.01 |
$26.54 |
+15.3% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
700 |
0.285 |
$199.43 |
$34.03 |
+20.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.961 |
$100.85 |
$11.18 |
+12.5% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? |
No |
83 |
0.975 |
$81.19 |
$9.54 |
+13.3% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.655 |
$65.50 |
$-7.50 |
-10.3% |
| Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
No |
58 |
0.996 |
$57.30 |
$2.71 |
+5.0% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
2,821 |
0.018 |
$52.19 |
$-5.09 |
-8.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
250 |
0.184 |
$46.12 |
$-15.17 |
-24.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.655 |
$45.85 |
$17.85 |
+63.8% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
2,160 |
0.019 |
$41.04 |
$-7.44 |
-15.3% |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
300 |
0.126 |
$37.65 |
$-4.35 |
-10.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
35 |
0.945 |
$33.07 |
$8.57 |
+35.0% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.105 |
$31.50 |
$1.80 |
+6.1% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
190 |
0.155 |
$29.49 |
$9.26 |
+45.8% |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.915 |
$18.31 |
$2.91 |
+18.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.145 |
$14.50 |
$-51.50 |
-78.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.325 |
$13.00 |
$-11.40 |
-46.7% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
260 |
0.037 |
$9.75 |
$0.91 |
+10.3% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
174 |
0.032 |
$5.50 |
$-1.08 |
-16.4% |