2100m
0xdf5fedac69ecf790b97c4be506aab7181eeaa1e3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$124
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$53
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
7W / 0L · 40 open
Win Return (30d)
17%
8W / 38L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
47
across 6 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$61.98
avg win $62
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,691 · all-time $1,240,563
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
5,533 |
0.974 |
$5,386.38 |
$-35.96 |
-0.7% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
1,643 |
0.955 |
$1,569.28 |
$8.22 |
+0.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,754 |
0.886 |
$1,555.28 |
$-1.53 |
-0.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
685 |
0.954 |
$653.14 |
$-3.77 |
-0.6% |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
591 |
0.935 |
$552.94 |
$16.89 |
+3.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
386 |
0.885 |
$341.95 |
$-9.66 |
-2.7% |
| Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
288 |
0.950 |
$273.90 |
$5.77 |
+2.2% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
139 |
0.968 |
$134.84 |
$0.63 |
+0.5% |