| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
9,050 |
0.981 |
$8,873.16 |
$497.85 |
+5.9% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? |
No |
1,990 |
0.931 |
$1,853.65 |
$90.00 |
+5.1% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.922 |
$1,845.36 |
$2.82 |
+0.2% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,504 |
0.927 |
$1,394.24 |
$12.19 |
+0.9% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? |
No |
1,104 |
0.981 |
$1,082.65 |
$44.94 |
+4.3% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.915 |
$457.50 |
$5.50 |
+1.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
410 |
0.905 |
$370.62 |
$20.24 |
+5.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.875 |
$350.00 |
$6.00 |
+1.7% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.925 |
$277.50 |
$7.50 |
+2.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.961 |
$192.19 |
$0.13 |
+0.1% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.952 |
$190.31 |
$-0.10 |
-0.1% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.935 |
$187.00 |
$5.00 |
+2.7% |
| Lai Ching-te impeached by December 31? |
No |
51 |
0.966 |
$48.85 |
$7.89 |
+19.3% |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? |
No |
40 |
0.929 |
$37.17 |
$0.12 |
+0.3% |
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
731 |
0.017 |
$12.06 |
$-4.37 |
-26.6% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.956 |
$3.91 |
$0.23 |
+6.2% |