| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
275,000 |
0.790 |
$217,387.50 |
$79,887.50 |
+58.1% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? |
No |
140,760 |
0.960 |
$135,058.86 |
$1,408.86 |
+1.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
122,763 |
0.845 |
$103,734.77 |
$4,637.74 |
+4.7% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
275,000 |
0.209 |
$57,612.50 |
$-79,887.50 |
-58.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
60,661 |
0.905 |
$54,897.89 |
$7,969.60 |
+17.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
29,735 |
0.945 |
$28,099.14 |
$915.35 |
+3.4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
29,942 |
0.905 |
$27,097.68 |
$3,219.32 |
+13.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
23,995 |
0.935 |
$22,435.32 |
$395.44 |
+1.8% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
21,708 |
0.963 |
$20,894.30 |
$154.15 |
+0.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
32,111 |
0.625 |
$20,069.29 |
$1,244.68 |
+6.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
23,108 |
0.865 |
$19,988.40 |
$653.63 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
22,087 |
0.865 |
$19,105.25 |
$1,156.65 |
+6.4% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
18,350 |
0.925 |
$16,974.16 |
$1,545.07 |
+10.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
17,490 |
0.958 |
$16,746.72 |
$2,247.47 |
+15.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
16,966 |
0.875 |
$14,845.57 |
$454.85 |
+3.2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
14,486 |
0.977 |
$14,153.11 |
$64.44 |
+0.5% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
14,911 |
0.935 |
$13,941.44 |
$74.73 |
+0.5% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
13,869 |
0.935 |
$12,967.37 |
$787.21 |
+6.5% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
14,411 |
0.823 |
$11,860.29 |
$312.46 |
+2.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
14,000 |
0.835 |
$11,689.97 |
$-394.97 |
-3.3% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
No |
11,995 |
0.967 |
$11,598.86 |
$508.95 |
+4.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
15,554 |
0.715 |
$11,121.43 |
$2,109.90 |
+23.4% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
10,160 |
0.992 |
$10,078.72 |
$20.69 |
+0.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
10,090 |
0.986 |
$9,943.68 |
$166.78 |
+1.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
10,030 |
0.850 |
$8,520.49 |
$145.67 |
+1.7% |