PnL (30d)

−$23

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-51.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

5W / 7L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

9W / 8L

Trades (30d)

17

across 15 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$2.12

avg win $1 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.21

$6 won / $29 lost

Reward / Risk

0.25

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$14

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.7% 5W/7L	15	$47
⚽ Sports	44.4% 4W/5L	9	$29
🤖 Tech	—	1	$2
🏛 Politics	—	1	$1
💵 Economy	—	1	$1
🎬 Culture	—	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	2	0.685	$1.57	$-0.06	-3.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	2	0.615	$1.08	$0.08	+7.9%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	2	0.660	$1.06	$0.03	+3.1%