PnL (30d)

+$288

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$31

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+23.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

64W / 46L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

70W / 49L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

120

across 105 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$3.04

avg win $10 · loss $7

Profit Factor

2.13

$545 won / $256 lost

Reward / Risk

1.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$36

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.2% 64W/46L	105	$1,253
₿ Crypto	100.0% 4W/0L	5	$139
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	5	$139
🤖 Tech	—	3	$52
🏛 Politics	—	2	$49

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31?	No	53	0.990	$52.47	$41.87	+395.0%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	No	51	0.741	$37.79	$36.77	+3605.0%
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	40	0.905	$36.20	$0.60	+1.7%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	Yes	51	0.570	$29.06	$-19.39	-40.0%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.880	$9.03	$0.62	+7.3%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $85 in August?	Yes	22	0.365	$8.11	$5.89	+265.0%
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	40	0.200	$8.00	$5.20	+185.7%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?	No	5	0.994	$4.97	$1.12	+29.0%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?	Yes	53	0.029	$1.56	$-37.66	-96.0%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?	Yes	5	0.021	$0.11	$-0.94	-89.8%