| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
107,094 |
0.935 |
$100,132.93 |
$55,891.10 |
+126.3% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
109,802 |
0.680 |
$74,665.58 |
$7,537.71 |
+11.2% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
35,904 |
0.940 |
$33,732.10 |
$15,662.00 |
+86.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
65,278 |
0.460 |
$29,995.35 |
$5,588.80 |
+22.9% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
27,843 |
0.970 |
$26,993.74 |
$2,013.60 |
+8.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
50,000 |
0.445 |
$22,249.97 |
$-750.00 |
-3.3% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
50,000 |
0.445 |
$22,249.90 |
$-750.00 |
-3.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
24,575 |
0.835 |
$20,520.03 |
$3,161.83 |
+18.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
100,000 |
0.165 |
$16,500.00 |
$2,500.30 |
+17.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
34,570 |
0.455 |
$15,729.16 |
$1,421.47 |
+9.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
356,257 |
0.042 |
$14,784.68 |
$-60,135.87 |
-80.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
385,230 |
0.025 |
$9,438.13 |
$-63,528.61 |
-87.1% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
8,266 |
1.000 |
$8,262.00 |
$3,410.06 |
+70.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
15,590 |
0.485 |
$7,561.36 |
$1,481.09 |
+24.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
8,524 |
0.643 |
$5,485.42 |
$142.77 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
7,293 |
0.675 |
$4,922.58 |
$1,132.64 |
+29.9% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
3,020 |
0.980 |
$2,957.92 |
$295.28 |
+11.1% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,764 |
0.760 |
$2,860.90 |
$163.44 |
+6.1% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
7,045 |
0.395 |
$2,782.87 |
$109.70 |
+4.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
10,153 |
0.255 |
$2,588.97 |
$-1,576.96 |
-37.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
3,729 |
0.675 |
$2,517.13 |
$55.94 |
+2.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
86,672 |
0.018 |
$1,603.44 |
$-4,730.93 |
-74.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
10,823 |
0.148 |
$1,601.74 |
$-938.83 |
-37.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? |
Yes |
1,714 |
0.820 |
$1,405.63 |
$43.38 |
+3.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
14,277 |
0.095 |
$1,356.29 |
$-1,936.17 |
-58.8% |