PnL (30d)

−$354

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-41.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

31%

87W / 192L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

88W / 196L

Trades (30d)

284

across 92 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$3.97

avg win $10 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.38

$219 won / $573 lost

Reward / Risk

1.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$23

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.2% 87W/192L	92	$1,539
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$5
💵 Economy	—	1	$77
🤖 Tech	—	1	$77

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	329	0.755	$248.22	$67.40	+37.3%
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes	532	0.175	$93.16	$-213.70	-69.6%
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	73	0.895	$64.91	$9.32	+16.8%
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	263	0.240	$63.05	$-68.78	-52.2%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	53	0.895	$47.27	$35.65	+306.8%
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	361	0.085	$30.68	$-42.53	-58.1%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	281	0.045	$12.78	$-7.96	-38.4%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	70	0.114	$7.95	$-49.38	-86.1%
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	31	0.220	$6.91	$-15.31	-68.9%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	Yes	64	0.105	$6.75	$-16.83	-71.4%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	8	0.650	$5.19	$1.95	+60.2%
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	Yes	78	0.058	$4.52	$-11.84	-72.4%
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	42	0.096	$3.96	$2.45	+162.4%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	139	0.024	$3.33	$-94.42	-96.6%
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?	Yes	30	0.095	$2.86	$0.75	+35.7%
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	187	0.015	$2.72	$-56.21	-95.4%
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	20	0.125	$2.50	$-9.10	-78.4%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	38	0.065	$2.50	$-15.18	-85.9%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	348	0.006	$2.09	$-50.60	-96.0%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	2	0.825	$1.52	$0.35	+30.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	1	0.935	$1.26	$0.51	+68.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.085	$1.25	$-4.79	-79.3%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?	Yes	7	0.115	$0.75	$-3.17	-80.8%
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	No	2	0.395	$0.70	$-0.17	-19.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.055	$0.55	$-2.35	-81.0%