PnL (30d)

+$467

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

84%

239W / 46L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

84%

242W / 46L

Trades (30d)

288

across 36 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$14.15

avg win $27 · loss $35

Profit Factor

2.93

$709 won / $242 lost

Reward / Risk

0.79

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$263

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.9% 239W/46L	36	$73,738
🏛 Politics	50.0% 1W/1L	3	$865
🎬 Culture	50.0% 1W/1L	3	$865

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	1,034	1.000	$1,033.48	$0.52	+0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.966	$965.50	$465.50	+93.1%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	456	0.999	$455.33	$0.23	+0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	1,000	0.035	$34.50	$-465.50	-93.1%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	22	1.000	$22.04	$0.06	+0.3%