PnL (30d)

−$2,121

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

11W / 11L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

11W / 22L

Trades (30d)

33

across 4 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$1,060.38

avg win $2,337 · loss $4,458

Profit Factor

0.52

$2,337 won / $4,458 lost

Reward / Risk

0.52

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 12W/12L	6	$25,377
🏛 Politics	—	2	$172
💵 Economy	—	2	$172

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	60,422	0.886	$53,563.93	$48,735.68	+1009.4%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	46,877	0.075	$3,515.77	$-2,599.98	-42.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	4,167	0.289	$1,206.35	$821.09	+213.1%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	1,042	0.972	$1,012.11	$647.48	+177.6%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	1,042	0.963	$1,003.25	$805.31	+406.8%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	1,042	0.962	$1,001.69	$334.94	+50.2%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	1,042	0.900	$937.62	$861.82	+1137.0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	33,336	0.026	$866.74	$-7,454.56	-89.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	5,170	0.148	$767.72	$540.91	+238.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	5,994	0.051	$305.09	$173.18	+131.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	2,162	0.102	$221.62	$-50.14	-18.5%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	19,792	0.006	$118.75	$-5,262.15	-97.8%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	300	0.347	$104.22	$98.57	+1743.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	2,084	0.019	$40.63	$-416.24	-91.1%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	6,251	0.004	$25.00	$-1,175.07	-97.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	1,042	0.017	$17.19	$-307.73	-94.7%