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Trader leaderboard/Forecastication2

Forecastication2

0xdd5ef115f801999575b03d78d0115ad8b2d59040
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$264,849
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$199
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
10,212W / 15,436L · 273 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
10,342W / 15,553L · 26 open
Trades (30d)
25,921
across 3,715 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$72.52
avg win $324 · loss $401
Profit Factor
0.67
$535,856 won / $800,705 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10,353
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $240,831 · all-time $16,128,017

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.3% 12,958W/19,220L 4524 $2,198,593
⚽ Sports 45.8% 1,593W/1,884L 969 $187,643

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

91 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz Doosan Bears 4,773 0.525 $2,506.05 $-289.14 -10.3%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5 Over 3,411 0.395 $1,347.33 $67.54 +5.3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Over 887 0.540 $478.72 $-94.39 -16.5%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Score Yes 822 0.515 $423.33 $1.91 +0.5%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Houston Astros 707 0.465 $328.75 $17.68 +5.7%
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Esprit Shōnen 1,341 0.245 $328.66 $-4.06 -1.2%
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Under 469 0.565 $264.94 $2.30 +0.9%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Yes 436 0.590 $257.35 $4.36 +1.7%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Houston Astros 346 0.740 $256.04 $31.14 +13.8%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Houston Astros 728 0.345 $251.09 $17.31 +7.4%
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty Seattle Storm 997 0.235 $234.31 $65.30 +38.6%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 517 0.430 $222.39 $37.97 +20.6%
Zack Wheeler: Strikeouts O/U 7.5 Under 281 0.750 $210.75 $70.25 +50.0%
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5 Under 280 0.680 $190.40 $8.40 +4.6%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05? Yes 243 0.735 $178.60 $2.45 +1.4%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) San Francisco Giants 151 0.825 $124.58 $14.56 +13.2%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz 173 0.645 $111.58 $-0.98 -0.9%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5 Over 160 0.625 $100.00 $4.96 +5.2%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies Yes 146 0.605 $88.33 $0.49 +0.6%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz 118 0.700 $82.60 $10.10 +13.9%
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-07? No 97 0.695 $67.41 $-3.40 -4.8%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever Las Vegas Aces 123 0.505 $62.12 $-0.72 -1.1%
Bryan De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 Under 112 0.500 $56.00 $-42.56 -43.2%
Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw? No 80 0.695 $55.59 $-0.41 -0.7%
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers LG Twins 104 0.525 $54.60 $3.64 +7.1%