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Trader

0xdd46558a1ab73be2e6f7015b082b99ea6de68a23
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$29
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-13.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
21W / 38L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
37%
22W / 38L
Trades (30d)
60
across 17 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.78
avg win $2 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.29
$12 won / $40 lost
Reward / Risk
0.48
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $156 · all-time $37,168

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.0% 819W/726L 404 $4,074
🏛 Politics 10 $22
🎬 Culture 1 $2
₿ Crypto 1 $2
💵 Economy 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? No 4 0.655 $2.95 $0.88 +42.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 3 0.825 $2.76 $0.75 +37.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026? No 4 0.670 $2.68 $0.32 +13.6%
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? No 4 0.640 $2.56 $0.40 +18.5%
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? No 4 0.625 $2.50 $0.50 +25.0%
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? No 5 0.470 $2.35 $-0.10 -4.1%
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 4 0.565 $2.26 $-0.10 -4.3%
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? No 5 0.440 $2.20 $-0.25 -10.2%
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? No 4 0.545 $2.18 $-0.10 -4.4%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? No 4 0.570 $2.17 $0.08 +3.6%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? No 5 0.415 $2.07 $-0.03 -1.2%
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? No 5 0.410 $2.05 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? No 4 0.510 $2.04 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? No 4 0.505 $2.02 $-0.06 -2.9%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No 5 0.375 $1.88 $-0.27 -12.8%
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? No 4 0.465 $1.86 $-0.14 -7.0%
Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 4 0.455 $1.82 $-0.18 -9.0%
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? No 4 0.440 $1.76 $-0.24 -12.0%
Will Joe Strada be the FL-11 Republican nominee? No 5 0.345 $1.72 $-0.28 -13.8%
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 4 0.416 $1.66 $-0.50 -23.0%
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? No 4 0.400 $1.50 $-0.60 -28.6%
Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee? No 4 0.325 $1.38 $-0.66 -32.3%
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? No 4 0.325 $1.30 $-0.82 -38.7%