PnL (30d)

−$306

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$143

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-18.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

7W / 16L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

18%

7W / 33L

Trades (30d)

40

across 6 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$61.18

avg win $36 · loss $126

Profit Factor

0.19

$72 won / $378 lost

Reward / Risk

0.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$45

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	60.7% 201W/130L	52	$220,023
⚽ Sports	5.6% 1W/17L	4	$2,424
🏛 Politics	75.0% 3W/1L	3	$1,672
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	1	$1,250
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$45

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	240,000	0.816	$195,720.00	$75,720.00	+63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	240,000	0.184	$44,280.00	$-75,720.00	-63.1%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	16,018	0.033	$528.61	$-140.58	-21.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?	No	1,218	0.150	$182.78	$-109.67	-37.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	3,333	0.050	$166.65	$-199.98	-54.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?	No	466	0.225	$104.74	$-49.55	-32.1%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	1,385	0.060	$83.10	$-249.31	-75.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	208	0.268	$55.75	$-15.17	-21.4%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	35	0.805	$28.18	$14.88	+111.8%