PnL (30d)

−$77

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$21

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

23W / 40L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

27W / 40L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

72

across 22 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$4.51

avg win $45 · loss $31

Profit Factor

0.78

$267 won / $344 lost

Reward / Risk

1.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$27

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	36.5% 23W/40L	22	$2,218
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$23

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	125	0.845	$105.30	$9.45	+9.9%
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	87	0.360	$31.32	$10.53	+50.7%
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	125	0.185	$23.05	$0.62	+2.8%