| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.945 |
$4.94 |
$-0.03 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
6 |
0.865 |
$4.94 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |
| Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? |
No |
5 |
0.981 |
$4.88 |
$-0.09 |
-1.8% |
| Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? |
No |
5 |
0.975 |
$4.87 |
$-0.04 |
-0.9% |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
6 |
0.865 |
$4.81 |
$0.08 |
+1.8% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR? |
No |
5 |
0.961 |
$4.79 |
$-0.18 |
-3.7% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? |
No |
7 |
0.715 |
$4.70 |
$-0.23 |
-4.7% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.929 |
$4.63 |
$-0.10 |
-2.2% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
5 |
0.920 |
$4.37 |
$-0.14 |
-3.2% |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? |
Yes |
4 |
0.924 |
$3.98 |
$-0.22 |
-5.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
4 |
0.984 |
$3.84 |
$0.06 |
+1.5% |
| Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.77 |
$-0.06 |
-1.7% |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? |
Yes |
11 |
0.350 |
$3.71 |
$-1.17 |
-23.9% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.60 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.830 |
$3.50 |
$-0.34 |
-8.8% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
13 |
0.253 |
$3.40 |
$-1.57 |
-31.6% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.944 |
$3.40 |
$-0.02 |
-0.6% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
3 |
0.990 |
$2.90 |
$0.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
1 |
0.956 |
$1.08 |
$-0.03 |
-2.6% |