0xdC83474BC4CDf4d037f8BE1EcA21cfa290aaBCD2-1772195983959
0xdc83474bc4cdf4d037f8be1eca21cfa290aabcd2
PnL (30d)
+$418
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$182
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
87%
13W / 2L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
17W / 4L
Trades (30d)
21
across 9 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$69.65
avg win $126 · loss $44
Profit Factor
5.75
$506 won / $88 lost
Reward / Risk
2.88
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$75
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $820 · all-time $538,002
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
86.7%
13W/2L
|
9 |
$4,931 |
|
🤖 Tech
|
—
|
1 |
$691 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
6,375 |
0.790 |
$5,039.44 |
$1,851.94 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
6,375 |
0.209 |
$1,335.56 |
$-1,851.94 |
-58.1% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
Yes |
1,366 |
0.895 |
$1,222.57 |
$49.65 |
+4.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.625 |
$625.00 |
$-265.00 |
-29.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? |
Yes |
283 |
0.680 |
$192.68 |
$36.84 |
+23.6% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
106 |
0.130 |
$13.81 |
$-1.06 |
-7.1% |