| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,843 |
0.775 |
$2,203.18 |
$38.69 |
+1.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
2,419 |
0.885 |
$2,141.04 |
$188.11 |
+9.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4,616 |
0.455 |
$2,100.27 |
$-778.00 |
-27.0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
2,156 |
0.815 |
$1,757.19 |
$217.64 |
+14.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
1,668 |
0.915 |
$1,526.48 |
$56.88 |
+3.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,567 |
0.635 |
$995.20 |
$-111.71 |
-10.1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
920 |
0.915 |
$841.80 |
$42.97 |
+5.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
962 |
0.835 |
$803.38 |
$81.89 |
+11.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
2,565 |
0.295 |
$756.62 |
$-266.62 |
-26.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
880 |
0.855 |
$751.98 |
$143.71 |
+23.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
1,010 |
0.735 |
$742.63 |
$74.70 |
+11.2% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
733 |
0.920 |
$674.01 |
$43.20 |
+6.8% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,586 |
0.375 |
$594.90 |
$-59.46 |
-9.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
794 |
0.645 |
$512.33 |
$120.97 |
+30.9% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
670 |
0.745 |
$498.82 |
$72.33 |
+17.0% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
No |
1,166 |
0.405 |
$472.42 |
$-114.19 |
-19.5% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
324 |
0.969 |
$313.50 |
$7.97 |
+2.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? |
No |
319 |
0.921 |
$294.29 |
$-5.57 |
-1.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
No |
297 |
0.625 |
$185.65 |
$37.13 |
+25.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
242 |
0.755 |
$182.42 |
$-13.29 |
-6.8% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
210 |
0.815 |
$171.36 |
$5.50 |
+3.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.815 |
$22.65 |
$1.07 |
+4.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
23 |
0.710 |
$16.01 |
$0.68 |
+4.4% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
17 |
0.920 |
$15.29 |
$0.30 |
+2.0% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.915 |
$4.85 |
$0.29 |
+6.4% |