1235813213455
0xdc394af7800ffe029351559f714e7cbd1e378ad8
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$221
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
9W / 11L · 47 open
Win Return (30d)
18%
12W / 55L
Trades (30d)
67
across 11 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$0.33
avg win $23 · loss $16
Profit Factor
0.96
$45 won / $47 lost
Reward / Risk
1.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,281 · all-time $1,402,310
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,093 |
0.255 |
$533.81 |
$-121.52 |
-18.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
1,344 |
0.325 |
$436.88 |
$-103.12 |
-19.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
330 |
0.315 |
$104.09 |
$-66.91 |
-39.1% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,469 |
0.046 |
$67.58 |
$-2.41 |
-3.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
94 |
0.390 |
$36.74 |
$-14.26 |
-28.0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
198 |
0.101 |
$19.90 |
$-0.10 |
-0.5% |