| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
18 |
0.675 |
$12.05 |
$2.05 |
+20.5% |
| Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? |
No |
9 |
0.620 |
$5.85 |
$0.85 |
+17.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
6 |
0.875 |
$5.15 |
$0.15 |
+2.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.515 |
$4.60 |
$-0.40 |
-8.0% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? |
No |
20 |
0.215 |
$4.30 |
$-0.70 |
-14.0% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
6 |
0.730 |
$4.29 |
$-0.71 |
-14.1% |
| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
No |
18 |
0.205 |
$3.66 |
$-1.34 |
-26.8% |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.059 |
$3.42 |
$-1.91 |
-35.9% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
2 |
0.740 |
$1.72 |
$-0.28 |
-13.9% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.003 |
$1.50 |
$0.50 |
+50.0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.003 |
$1.25 |
$0.25 |
+25.0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.002 |
$0.75 |
$-0.25 |
-25.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? |
Yes |
10 |
0.054 |
$0.53 |
$-0.06 |
-10.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-01 House seat? |
Yes |
10 |
0.028 |
$0.27 |
$-0.38 |
-58.2% |