| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
224 |
0.365 |
$81.76 |
$-10.08 |
-11.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
210 |
0.356 |
$74.86 |
$-8.27 |
-9.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
67 |
0.365 |
$24.45 |
$0.33 |
+1.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
45 |
0.515 |
$23.18 |
$4.28 |
+22.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
28 |
0.675 |
$18.90 |
$-0.14 |
-0.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
20 |
0.875 |
$17.50 |
$0.40 |
+2.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
22 |
0.765 |
$16.83 |
$0.11 |
+0.7% |
| Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2027? |
No |
19 |
0.715 |
$13.70 |
$3.70 |
+37.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.850 |
$13.59 |
$1.67 |
+14.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
93 |
0.135 |
$12.57 |
$2.57 |
+25.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.835 |
$11.69 |
$0.20 |
+1.7% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.375 |
$11.25 |
$1.35 |
+13.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
16 |
0.675 |
$10.80 |
$0.56 |
+5.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
78 |
0.110 |
$8.58 |
$-3.50 |
-29.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
19 |
0.445 |
$8.46 |
$1.38 |
+19.4% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.145 |
$8.35 |
$-22.73 |
-73.1% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
14 |
0.515 |
$7.21 |
$-0.63 |
-8.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
31 |
0.209 |
$6.49 |
$0.48 |
+8.0% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
26 |
0.215 |
$5.59 |
$2.41 |
+75.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.105 |
$5.25 |
$-0.75 |
-12.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.905 |
$4.76 |
$0.76 |
+19.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
33 |
0.143 |
$4.74 |
$1.63 |
+52.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.823 |
$4.11 |
$-0.03 |
-0.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
14 |
0.278 |
$3.85 |
$0.85 |
+28.5% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.770 |
$3.85 |
$0.40 |
+11.6% |