| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
6,688 |
0.955 |
$6,387.16 |
$53.24 |
+0.8% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
5,870 |
0.945 |
$5,547.15 |
$409.81 |
+8.0% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,246 |
0.960 |
$5,033.82 |
$122.24 |
+2.5% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
5,089 |
0.963 |
$4,898.03 |
$86.02 |
+1.8% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
4,221 |
0.942 |
$3,974.03 |
$26.08 |
+0.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
3,264 |
0.974 |
$3,177.32 |
$12.24 |
+0.4% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? |
Yes |
2,575 |
0.962 |
$2,477.20 |
$8.30 |
+0.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
2,300 |
0.961 |
$2,209.15 |
$208.15 |
+10.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
2,249 |
0.964 |
$2,166.85 |
$23.74 |
+1.1% |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? |
Yes |
2,193 |
0.970 |
$2,126.09 |
$5.79 |
+0.3% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? |
Yes |
2,464 |
0.845 |
$2,082.41 |
$-115.74 |
-5.3% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
2,200 |
0.945 |
$2,079.00 |
$33.00 |
+1.6% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
2,220 |
0.910 |
$2,020.20 |
$22.20 |
+1.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
2,010 |
1.000 |
$2,008.99 |
$1.00 |
+0.1% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
2,020 |
0.993 |
$2,004.85 |
$3.03 |
+0.2% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
2,100 |
0.935 |
$1,963.59 |
$-5.50 |
-0.3% |
| GTA VI released before November 2026? |
No |
1,584 |
0.971 |
$1,537.98 |
$36.98 |
+2.5% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? |
No |
1,324 |
0.994 |
$1,315.94 |
$1.57 |
+0.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,280 |
0.875 |
$1,120.00 |
$32.00 |
+2.9% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,110 |
0.955 |
$1,060.18 |
$49.96 |
+4.9% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,081 |
0.915 |
$989.12 |
$-27.02 |
-2.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,140 |
0.845 |
$963.30 |
$-39.90 |
-4.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? |
No |
938 |
0.979 |
$918.30 |
$7.26 |
+0.8% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
875 |
0.925 |
$809.24 |
$56.87 |
+7.6% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? |
No |
539 |
0.960 |
$517.05 |
$6.71 |
+1.3% |