PnL (30d)

−$92

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

121W / 172L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

122W / 177L

Trades (30d)

299

across 103 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.95

avg win $3 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.65

$168 won / $260 lost

Reward / Risk

0.40

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$16

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.3% 121W/172L	103	$3,109
₿ Crypto	12.5% 1W/7L	6	$78
💵 Economy	—	1	$30
🌤 Weather	—	1	$20
🔬 Science	—	1	$20
🏛 Politics	—	1	$16

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	96	0.865	$83.19	$8.17	+10.9%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	77	0.145	$11.15	$-8.85	-44.2%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	19	0.213	$4.09	$-0.70	-14.6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	33	0.055	$1.83	$-3.17	-63.3%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	7	0.065	$0.43	$-0.56	-56.7%