PnL (30d)

−$112

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-19.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

26%

78W / 226L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

78W / 237L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

319

across 75 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$1.58

avg win $9 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.53

$128 won / $241 lost

Reward / Risk

2.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$65

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.2% 252W/641L	233	$3,301
🌤 Weather	13.2% 18W/118L	37	$296
₿ Crypto	78.6% 11W/3L	5	$48

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.755	$3.77	$1.23	+48.0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.505	$2.52	$-0.23	-8.2%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.001	$0.01	$-5.38	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	11	0.001	$0.01	$-3.14	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 5?	Yes	7	0.001	$0.00	$-1.00	-99.7%