| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
3,211 |
0.065 |
$208.69 |
$-201.02 |
-49.1% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.307 |
$153.50 |
$-7.00 |
-4.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.060 |
$149.97 |
$-301.01 |
-66.7% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.145 |
$145.00 |
$-70.00 |
-32.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
900 |
0.155 |
$139.50 |
$-227.49 |
-62.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
2,000 |
0.055 |
$110.00 |
$-135.00 |
-55.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
330 |
0.305 |
$100.65 |
$37.80 |
+60.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
350 |
0.175 |
$61.25 |
$-81.75 |
-57.2% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Yes |
278 |
0.200 |
$55.66 |
$-43.58 |
-43.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.036 |
$36.50 |
$-39.50 |
-52.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.595 |
$23.61 |
$-0.29 |
-1.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
540 |
0.028 |
$14.85 |
$-64.35 |
-81.2% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
Yes |
92 |
0.049 |
$4.46 |
$-10.26 |
-69.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
94 |
0.045 |
$4.22 |
$-7.97 |
-65.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
10 |
0.285 |
$2.85 |
$-3.25 |
-53.3% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.300 |
$1.80 |
$0.24 |
+15.4% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.010 |
$1.27 |
$-71.90 |
-98.3% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.085 |
$0.85 |
$-0.95 |
-52.8% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.003 |
$0.09 |
$-1.98 |
-95.7% |