| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
6,293 |
0.580 |
$3,650.11 |
$-235.38 |
-6.1% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
6,346 |
0.375 |
$2,379.59 |
$206.91 |
+9.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,003 |
0.725 |
$1,451.86 |
$79.86 |
+5.8% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
No |
1,229 |
0.835 |
$1,026.59 |
$110.79 |
+12.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
939 |
0.855 |
$802.94 |
$87.07 |
+12.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
679 |
0.969 |
$657.71 |
$89.56 |
+15.8% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,053 |
0.277 |
$567.78 |
$-35.25 |
-5.8% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
1,461 |
0.175 |
$255.71 |
$-68.94 |
-21.2% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
463 |
0.520 |
$240.80 |
$54.09 |
+29.0% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
448 |
0.485 |
$217.13 |
$-28.43 |
-11.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
951 |
0.175 |
$166.37 |
$-61.05 |
-26.8% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
No |
241 |
0.653 |
$157.65 |
$23.40 |
+17.4% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
199 |
0.610 |
$121.26 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
213 |
0.565 |
$120.54 |
$31.19 |
+34.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
720 |
0.080 |
$57.61 |
$-59.81 |
-50.9% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
387 |
0.135 |
$52.31 |
$8.95 |
+20.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.275 |
$27.50 |
$-13.50 |
-32.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
28 |
0.940 |
$26.41 |
$5.61 |
+26.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
266 |
0.045 |
$11.95 |
$-54.15 |
-81.9% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
245 |
0.044 |
$10.90 |
$-59.05 |
-84.4% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.625 |
$7.43 |
$0.18 |
+2.5% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
5 |
0.955 |
$4.65 |
$0.75 |
+19.3% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.535 |
$2.72 |
$-0.48 |
-15.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
21 |
0.115 |
$2.38 |
$-3.07 |
-56.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5 |
0.460 |
$2.30 |
$-0.20 |
-8.1% |