pretzel
0xda737a656dd487c3ba95d6577d1fec2c61414d41
PnL (30d)
−$3,093
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$257
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-22.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
71%
24W / 10L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
34W / 18L
Trades (30d)
52
across 11 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$773.35
avg win $1,504 · loss $1,532
Profit Factor
0.33
$1,504 won / $4,597 lost
Reward / Risk
0.98
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,597
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,173 · all-time $3,313,943
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
70.6%
24W/10L
|
11 |
$16,178 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
0.0%
0W/8L
|
1 |
$4,561 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
8,229 |
0.606 |
$4,982.70 |
$1,276.41 |
+34.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
38,866 |
0.051 |
$1,962.73 |
$-1,258.91 |
-39.1% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? |
Yes |
1,130 |
0.815 |
$920.51 |
$132.24 |
+16.8% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
3,312 |
0.076 |
$253.34 |
$27.73 |
+12.3% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
2,943 |
0.044 |
$129.49 |
$11.77 |
+10.0% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
1,035 |
0.085 |
$88.01 |
$36.24 |
+70.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.130 |
$1.47 |
$-0.34 |
-18.8% |
| Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
Yes |
3 |
0.033 |
$0.10 |
$-1.76 |
-94.8% |