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Trader leaderboard/Eire

Eire

0xda66ddc4529eb7ac68add4eca06c37cdcde03f38
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$526
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$433
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
21W / 8L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
82%
49W / 11L
Trades (30d)
60
across 22 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$37.54
avg win $41 · loss $327
Profit Factor
0.46
$454 won / $980 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $750 · all-time $1,348,090

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 71.7% 114W/45L 64 $82,602
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 8 $8,558
⚽ Sports 4 $240

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

48 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 8,225 0.645 $5,305.43 $106.43 +2.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 1,990 0.996 $1,982.04 $284.69 +16.8%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 1,892 0.635 $1,201.39 $-398.61 -24.9%
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? Yes 850 0.974 $827.81 $97.01 +13.3%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 1,020 0.604 $615.64 $-184.36 -23.0%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 617 0.855 $527.93 $77.93 +17.3%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 500 0.924 $462.25 $5.40 +1.2%
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? No 430 0.840 $361.40 $-38.60 -9.7%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 315 0.986 $310.38 $36.61 +13.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 354 0.845 $298.81 $5.81 +2.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 235 0.848 $199.28 $-24.68 -11.0%
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? Yes 215 0.805 $173.41 $-22.71 -11.6%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 123 0.905 $111.73 $11.73 +11.7%
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes 126 0.835 $105.00 $5.00 +5.0%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 100 0.968 $96.75 $0.55 +0.6%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 137 0.675 $92.47 $-7.53 -7.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? Yes 700 0.125 $87.50 $-408.40 -82.4%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes 169 0.515 $87.29 $-12.71 -12.7%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes 144 0.515 $73.97 $-26.03 -26.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 578 0.117 $67.34 $-32.66 -32.7%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 228 0.261 $59.34 $-40.66 -40.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 300 0.184 $55.35 $-17.55 -24.1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 100 0.540 $54.05 $0.65 +1.2%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 231 0.209 $48.50 $-1.50 -3.0%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 50 0.905 $45.27 $0.03 +0.1%