PnL (30d)

+$1,076

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$34

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+12.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

25W / 57L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

25W / 60L

Trades (30d)

85

across 38 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$30.73

avg win $889 · loss $224

Profit Factor

1.18

$7,115 won / $6,040 lost

Reward / Risk

3.98

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$870

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.5% 25W/57L	38	$16,908
⚽ Sports	20.0% 2W/8L	5	$1,400

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	831	0.460	$382.09	$-117.91	-23.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	400	0.745	$298.00	$80.00	+36.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	744	0.365	$271.45	$-28.55	-9.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	306	0.215	$65.69	$-44.31	-40.3%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40	0.185	$7.40	$-7.60	-50.7%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	345	0.015	$5.35	$-14.65	-73.3%