totalost801

0xda39194d075955d34aea74e557470ae6e44eb4aa

Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets

PnL (30d)

−$40

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

51W / 43L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

51W / 45L · 11 open

Trades (30d)

107

across 52 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.85

avg win $4 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.65

$76 won / $116 lost

Reward / Risk

0.81

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,604 · all-time $178,697

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.9% 205W/262L	216	$3,040
⚽ Sports	50.0% 3W/3L	6	$28
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/4L	4	$17
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/4L	3	$11
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/4L	2	$10
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$6
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$2
🏛 Politics	—	1	$11

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10?	Yes	60	0.215	$12.90	$2.70	+26.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?	Yes	50	0.135	$6.75	$0.25	+3.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8?	Yes	40	0.155	$6.20	$0.20	+3.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	60	0.055	$3.30	$-2.10	-38.9%
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?	Yes	50	0.037	$1.87	$-0.26	-12.4%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?	No	5	0.345	$1.72	$-0.78	-31.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	613	0.003	$1.53	$-16.96	-91.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8?	No	20	0.075	$1.50	$-2.50	-62.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?	Yes	141	0.006	$0.92	$-1.72	-65.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	100	0.003	$0.25	$-4.45	-94.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?	Yes	5	0.018	$0.09	$-0.47	-83.8%