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Trader leaderboard/BamseOgKylling

BamseOgKylling

0xd9e7c4534905e459ec75e9f5d828c58a12924cde
PnL (30d)
−$634
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$204
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
54W / 21L · 102 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
116W / 61L
Trades (30d)
177
across 44 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$28.80
avg win $50 · loss $238
Profit Factor
0.56
$794 won / $1,427 lost
Reward / Risk
0.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,397 · all-time $281,756

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.0% 54W/21L 44 $32,622
🏛 Politics 3 $1,468
🤖 Tech 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $492

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 4,800 0.845 $4,056.00 $670.01 +19.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 4,000 0.935 $3,740.00 $110.00 +3.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 3,850 0.675 $2,598.75 $436.78 +20.2%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 2,500 0.945 $2,362.50 $187.50 +8.6%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 2,000 0.987 $1,972.99 $11.00 +0.6%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 1,500 0.945 $1,417.50 $22.50 +1.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 1,400 0.957 $1,339.80 $91.80 +7.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 1,045 0.963 $1,005.81 $10.90 +1.1%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 1,000 0.971 $970.50 $14.50 +1.5%
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No 1,104 0.865 $954.65 $64.48 +7.2%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 1,000 0.855 $855.01 $120.00 +16.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 800 0.949 $759.20 $-2.30 -0.3%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 1,000 0.745 $745.00 $55.00 +8.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 843 0.850 $716.28 $113.33 +18.8%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 700 0.905 $633.50 $17.50 +2.8%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 700 0.905 $633.50 $31.50 +5.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 600 0.940 $564.00 $36.00 +6.8%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 600 0.875 $525.00 $3.00 +0.6%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 650 0.715 $464.75 $70.25 +17.8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? No 400 0.964 $385.40 $17.40 +4.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.635 $317.49 $-37.50 -10.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 147 0.999 $146.97 $3.90 +2.7%
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? No 100 0.810 $81.00 $-4.00 -4.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.345 $68.98 $-9.02 -11.6%
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes 50 0.408 $20.39 $-3.10 -13.2%