PnL (30d)

+$23

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

13%

106W / 696L · 59 open

Win Return (30d)

12%

106W / 755L

Trades (30d)

861

across 70 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

+$0.39

avg win $45 · loss $6

Profit Factor

1.07

$361 won / $338 lost

Reward / Risk

6.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$39

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	15.5% 281W/1,530L	140	$2,713
🏛 Politics	3.6% 6W/162L	25	$63
🎬 Culture	3.6% 6W/162L	25	$63

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,030	0.002	$3.04	$-1.49	-32.8%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,750	0.002	$2.62	$0.88	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	791	0.003	$1.98	$-2.72	-57.9%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	105	0.016	$1.68	$-1.57	-48.4%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	70	0.019	$1.36	$-0.80	-37.1%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,925	0.001	$0.96	$-1.66	-63.3%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,773	0.001	$0.89	$-0.89	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,750	0.001	$0.88	$-0.88	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	350	0.003	$0.88	$-0.17	-16.7%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	175	0.004	$0.79	$-1.31	-62.5%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,305	0.001	$0.65	$-1.35	-67.4%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	151	0.004	$0.53	$0.08	+16.6%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	490	0.001	$0.24	$-1.15	-82.5%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	350	0.001	$0.17	$-0.88	-83.3%