| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.989 |
$1,482.75 |
$-1.75 |
-0.1% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.875 |
$875.01 |
$247.67 |
+39.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
889 |
0.840 |
$746.86 |
$-4.79 |
-0.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2,292 |
0.325 |
$745.01 |
$17.90 |
+2.5% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
967 |
0.770 |
$744.22 |
$6.01 |
+0.8% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
900 |
0.820 |
$738.00 |
$85.50 |
+13.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.875 |
$699.99 |
$5.00 |
+0.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.975 |
$682.15 |
$-0.65 |
-0.1% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: August |
Nothing |
710 |
0.820 |
$582.44 |
$5.90 |
+1.0% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
650 |
0.855 |
$555.72 |
$-8.75 |
-1.5% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? |
No |
600 |
0.885 |
$531.00 |
$9.00 |
+1.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,374 |
0.385 |
$528.91 |
$-32.72 |
-5.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.755 |
$528.39 |
$16.07 |
+3.1% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? |
No |
1,208 |
0.435 |
$525.62 |
$58.73 |
+12.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.650 |
$520.01 |
$45.00 |
+9.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.635 |
$508.00 |
$-6.00 |
-1.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.986 |
$492.74 |
$0.25 |
+0.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.976 |
$488.00 |
$3.00 |
+0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
700 |
0.695 |
$486.44 |
$-36.57 |
-7.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
500 |
0.968 |
$483.75 |
$9.75 |
+2.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
700 |
0.675 |
$472.50 |
$65.68 |
+16.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
600 |
0.785 |
$471.00 |
$21.00 |
+4.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.885 |
$442.51 |
$25.50 |
+6.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
462 |
0.940 |
$434.12 |
$9.28 |
+2.2% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? |
No |
426 |
0.958 |
$407.91 |
$2.50 |
+0.6% |