| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
116 |
0.988 |
$114.34 |
$4.34 |
+3.9% |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
95 |
0.974 |
$92.53 |
$2.28 |
+2.5% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.977 |
$58.59 |
$7.89 |
+15.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
57 |
0.951 |
$54.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? |
No |
47 |
0.979 |
$45.87 |
$0.87 |
+1.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
65 |
0.545 |
$35.42 |
$4.92 |
+16.1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
190 |
0.177 |
$33.73 |
$-143.61 |
-81.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
40 |
0.816 |
$32.36 |
$7.36 |
+29.4% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
No |
30 |
0.978 |
$29.32 |
$0.91 |
+3.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
190 |
0.135 |
$25.65 |
$-13.45 |
-34.4% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
No |
25 |
0.765 |
$18.89 |
$-1.11 |
-5.6% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.885 |
$17.70 |
$2.30 |
+14.9% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.935 |
$16.44 |
$0.44 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
249 |
0.065 |
$16.17 |
$-80.93 |
-83.3% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
280 |
0.055 |
$15.40 |
$-25.00 |
-61.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
70 |
0.165 |
$11.55 |
$-9.45 |
-45.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
20 |
0.555 |
$11.10 |
$-1.90 |
-14.6% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
No |
11 |
0.955 |
$10.73 |
$0.73 |
+7.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
200 |
0.051 |
$10.30 |
$1.70 |
+19.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
23 |
0.405 |
$9.26 |
$1.26 |
+15.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.395 |
$8.81 |
$-1.63 |
-15.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
30 |
0.215 |
$6.48 |
$-18.52 |
-74.1% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.920 |
$6.37 |
$1.37 |
+27.3% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
250 |
0.022 |
$5.62 |
$0.87 |
+18.4% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.215 |
$4.30 |
$-9.70 |
-69.3% |