0xD90eab472B3a37098411dE046E8825C0E5C303B6-1768638377421
0xd90eab472b3a37098411de046e8825c0e5c303b6
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$286
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
146W / 562L · 325 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
152W / 562L · 319 open
Trades (30d)
1,033
across 297 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.42
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.21
$75 won / $361 lost
Reward / Risk
0.77
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$132
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $20,795 · all-time $408,549
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
14.9%
676W/3,851L
|
1663 |
$78,913 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
11.7%
33W/250L
|
105 |
$4,420 |
|
₿ Crypto
|
100.0%
4W/0L
|
3 |
$4 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? |
No |
100 |
0.445 |
$44.50 |
$2.50 |
+6.0% |
| Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
Yes |
16 |
0.014 |
$0.22 |
$-6.68 |
-96.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
90 |
0.001 |
$0.04 |
$-0.04 |
-50.0% |